Rising China

            

             It’s hard for Americans today to turn on a television or open a newspaper without hearing of the War on Terror, political unrest in Africa or the 2008 elections. But the American public has vaguely acknowledged the United States’ threat of a new Cold War with the biggest challenger for U.S. hegemony: China.

             

             An article by William R. Hawkins, senior fellow for the U.S. Business and Industry Council, said the long term threat from China “is from the vast new wealth and array of modern capabilities that will be available to a regime whose strategic ambitions clash with those of the United States.”

           

            Equipping an empire of 1.3 billion people with modern industry, technology and capital gives the authoritarian government in Beijing immense resources to support its determination.  It is the spirit of nationalism and the energy of capitalism that drives it.  

           

            According to Hawkins, this combination will rock the world.

Smiling Diplomacy           

            In Parag Khanna’s “Waving Goodbye to Hegemony,” from Thailand to Indonesia to Korea, no country wants political tension to upset economic growth. But to the Western eye, it is a bizarre phenomenon: small Asian nation-states should be balancing against rising China, but instead rally toward it out of Asian pride.                                                                                                                                     

            According to Richard Halloran of the Washington Times, China’s “charm offensive” is integral to what may be a campaign to revive the China of yesteryear that dominated Asia. Beijing seeks to acquire such political, economic and diplomatic clout that major decisions in every Asian capital will require Chinese approval.           

            The nonpartisan Congressional Research Service, Washington, said China’s ability to influence Southeast Asia “largely stems from its role as a major source of foreign aid, trade and investment.” China’s imports of Southeast Asian goods from 1997 to 2006 soared 674 percent to $89.5 billion.            

            China has provided the largest amount of aid to Myanmar, in addition to Laos and Cambodia, and helped build roads, railroads, airfields and ports. The Chinese have also provided up to $2 billion worth of weapons to the U.S.-shunned authoritarian junta that rules Myanmar.           

            According to Khanna, China is the new heavyweight player among the Stans — its manifest destiny pushing westward while pulling microstates like Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, as well as oil-rich Kazakhstan, into its orbit. If the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation gathered those central Asian states together with China and Russia, they may eventually become the “NATO of the East.”

Lack of Transparency

            According to an article by researcher Peter McMahon, China is not as militarily strong as the U.S. yet, but it is catching up at an accelerating pace. The Chinese have embraced the current revolution from a low-tech to a high-tech military. They have strong ties to Russia, the second most sophisticated arms producer, and have been very successful in stealing military secrets from the United States.

           

            According to the 2006 Report to Congress, the People’s Liberation Army has formed a new doctrine for modern warfare, with reform of military institutions and personnel systems, improved exercise and training standards, and the acquisition of advanced foreign and domestic weapon systems.

           

            China’s leaders have yet to adequately explain the purposes or desired end-states of their military expansion. The outside world has little knowledge of Chinese motivations and decision making.

China’s Black Gold       

           

            According to political pundit Glenn Beck, just the increase in the amount of coal China will burn by 2020 will send as much CO₂ into the atmosphere as 3 billion Ford Expeditions, each driven 15,000 miles a year.

           

            China has done virtually nothing in the effort to slow global warming.

           

            According to an article by Keith Bradsher and David Barboza of the New York Times, China uses more coal than the United States, the European Union and Japan combined. Every week to 10 days, another coal-fired power plant opens somewhere in China that is big enough to serve all the households in Dallas. In 2006, the government promised to close the illegal and most unsanitary of factories, but no one is talking about shutting the region’s coal-burning power plants that account for more than half of China’s pollution.

           

            According to a Science Daily news release, the carbon dioxide emanating from Chinese coal plants will last for decades, with a cumulative warming effect that will deliver a large kick to global warming.

           

            The release said China expelled about 22.5 million tons of sulfur in 2004, more than twice the amount released in the United States. In 2002, the Chinese vowed to cut 10 percent of sulfur emissions by 2005.

           

            Instead, they rose 27 percent.

           

            Academic experts say that if China acts quickly, sulfur emissions could be halved in the next couple of decades. But if China continues to do little, emissions will double, creating even more devastating health and environmental problems.

            As a realist, I firmly believe in the struggle for power. Countries are irrational actors on the World Stage, and this struggle has the ability to supersede all diplomatic relations and ideological thinking. I believe China will do anything to be No.1. Liberals have even advocated a U.S.-adopted Kyoto Protocol — a policy that would cost us $400 billion a year and deliver a serious blow to our economy. Americans obsess over how to save the rest of the world from certain climatological doom, while China continues to do nothing, getting richer and stronger until it reaches a point where it can imperialize the Eastern globe.

Funding Genocide           

            China is now insuring its second genocide in three decades. The first was in Pol Pot’s Cambodia, and the second is in al-Bashir’s Sudan.            

            According to an article by Danna Harman, correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor, Sudan bought $24 million worth of arms and ammunition from China in 2005, as well as $57 million worth of parts for helicopters and airplanes. Figures for years following 2005 were not available, but in 2007, China delivered six K-8 advanced trainer fighter jets used for air-to-ground attacks. All this after a UN-approved embargo was imposed on Darfur.                       

            Most AK-47’s the Janjaweed use to terrorize and kill African villagers are Chinese models, and the primary reason is oil.            

            China traditionally was self-sufficient, but since 1993 it has been a net oil importer. About 60 percent of Sudan’s oil belongs to China, and Beijing has a close economic and even military relationship with Khartoum.            

            Americans blame the Bush Administration for not intervening in Darfur, whereas China, our “ally,” continues to openly fund al-Bashir’s efforts.

U.S. Hegemony   

           

            This is not to say that China will simply replace the U.S. as a global hegemony. With the rapid rise of India and Brazil, the possible revival of Russia, and the enduring wealth of Europe, obtaining global power could become much more complex. But if a viable global governance system does not come forth to manage the shift, it could be a dangerous time. These are the planetary stakes of a new World Stage — a global, multi-polar battle.

Tags: China, China threat, Darfur, genocide, global warming, rising China, Sudan